Archive for September, 2008

Newspaper Classified Ads Functionally Obsolete

September 14, 2008

Newspaper classified advertising remains a $14 Billion dollar annual business.

However, in 2007 newspapers saw the single largest percentage drop in year over year classified advertising revenue since the Newspaper Association of America began compiling sales data 57 years ago.

From 2006 to 2007 newspaper classified advertising declined 16.5%.

Trulia CEO and co-Founder Pete Flint has produced graphs from the Newspaper Association of America showing quarterly classified expenditures along with their annual percentage change in revenues over a ten year period for three major newspaper classified advertising categories: real estate, recruitment and automotive.

As their charts illustrate, each newspaper classified advertising category’s expenditures appear to have mirrored US economic cycles yet more importantly, they also appear to reflect general media consumption trends.

Newspaper Real Estate Classified Ads

Newspaper Real Estate Classified Ads

Newspaper real estate classified advertising inflated along with the national housing market seeing its expenditures peaking in 2006.

Recruitment Classified Ads

Recruitment Classified Ads

Newspaper classified advertising for recruitment ie. jobs, saw its annual expenditures peak in 2000.

Automotive Classified Ads

Automotive Classified Ads

Expenditures for automotive classified ads peaked in 2002.

None of newspaper classified advertising categories have reached new levels of expenditures since each reached their respective peak.

Coincidentally, these newspaper classified advertising categories – real estate, recruitment and automotive – now produce a fraction of the revenues they once did for publishers -roughly $600 million per quarter.

It would be easy to attribute expenditures on newspaper classifieds to each respective industry’s sales peaks and troughs along with their accompanying economic cycles, but why are the charts for each category continuing to show double digit annual percentage drops in publisher revenues?

Because the graphs also illustrate changes in media consumption habits and how their adoption within a market disrupts then reduces expenditures on newspaper classified advertising along with publisher ad sales.

When a newspaper classified advertising category’s audience moves online for the new time efficiencies online classified advertising provides – both the newspaper publisher and their advertisers pay the price.

When a publisher’s audience segment disappears, so eventually will its advertisers and their money.

The first newspaper classified advertising category to be eviscerated by the internet was recruitment. Recruitment began moving online in earnest in 2000 and went on to became one of the first models to survive and thrive online – ultimately transforming recruitment in the process.

In 2002, automotive marketing began moving online.

eBay Motors has since become the world’s largest car dealer. When was the last time you heard of an individual placing a classified ad in the local paper to sell their car? When was the last time you placed a classified ad to sell your car in your local paper – and then sold it?

The next newspaper classified ad category to disappear?

Real Estate.

The newspaper industry and its Real Estate classified advertising business are now under assault on two fronts – the decline of the national housing market and the ascent of internet home listing information and marketing services like Pete Flint’s Trulia.com

If the newspaper industry’s loss of the two previous categories to internet publishers is any indication of how they will respond to the internet real estate publisher threat, newspaper real estate classified ads will soon become the next classified ad category to become functionally obsolete.

Cell Phone Monitoring Application

September 13, 2008

A new cell phone application from India’s Maverick Mobile can be programmed to remotely monitor cell phones with it software.

Dubbed Maverick Secure Mobile (MSM) the cell phone security application can also help mobile phone owners locate and potentially retrieve their lost or stolen cell phones.

For cell phone monitoring, Maverick Secure Media offers a feature called Spy Call. Spy Call lets cell phone owners program their cell phone for remote cell phone call monitoring.

Maverick Mobile’s Spy Call :

If the owner calls from the reporting device to the stolen device, its a “Spy Call.” Spy call switches on the loudspeaker & Mic of the stolen device remotely, so the caller can actually listen to the conversation the other person is engaged in. The Spy Call does not give any notification/ ring to the stolen device. The person who receives a Spy Call will not know he is being called by the cell phone owner. Even if he learns about spy call, he cannot disconnect it.

MSM List of features:

Cell Phone Monitoring Application

Cell Phone Monitoring Application

For tracking lost or stolen cell phones:
“In case of loss or theft the application will send the phone number, device id, country code, operator name and area code (location) to the reporting device through SMS.”

I am not sure how the device’s tracking capabilities will lead to its being found and returned unless it uses the phone’s data to triangulate a location through cell phone tower data or GPS.

If the application provides a precise lat/long coordinate, the cell phone owner could simply track it down.

Wouldn’t tracking down and retrieving a stolen cell phone from a thief be an entirely different matter?

In any case with Maverick Secure Mobile software; cell phone owners, jealous lovers and even concerned parents all have a new tool for remotely reaching out and touching their their cell phones and the people who use them.

Galveston Texas Hurricane Ike on Google Maps

September 12, 2008

Google Maps is providing a convenient weather forecast map overlay of Hurricane Ike and its projected path over the next 24, 36 and 48 hours.

Hurricane Ike 24 Hour Forecast

Hurricane Ike 24 Hour Forecast

Hurricane Ike: Galveston Island, TX 24 hour weather map forecast

Hurricane Ike 36 Hour Forecast

Hurricane Ike 36 Hour Forecast

Hurricane Ike: Houston Texas, Central Texas 36 weather map forecast

Hurricane Ike 48 Hour Forecast

Hurricane Ike 48 Hour Forecast

Hurricane Ike: Texas and Oklahoma 48 hour weather map forecast

Google Maps is also providing a third party’s “Rising Sea Simulator” for visualizing storm surge levels but according to HeyWhat’sThat.com:

“We’re currently seeing heavy demand on our servers, so for now you’ll have to hit ‘Go’ whenever you move or zoom the map to load the overlay images.”

I had difficulty getting their application to load and couldn’t get it to produce a storm surge map for Galveston Bay or Galveston Island other than from space.

Storm Surge

Storm Surge

To get more information about Hurricane Ike and its status, a quick Google search for Galveston web cams, Galveston newspapers or Galveston TV Stations will produce a list of other Hurricane Ike news sources.

I tried to access most of Galveston Web Cameras listed but they too were experiencing heavy usage and didn’t load very fast (less than 90 seconds).

Overall, it won’t be a good day to be in the Galveston Bay and Beach area.

Remember: 9/11 Photos

September 11, 2008

My wife and I were scheduled to fly on American Airlines from Oklahoma City to New York’s LaGuardia airport 9/12/2001 for a quick getaway to celebrate her birthday and our anniversary.

We had planned to leave on September 11th but when making our flight reservations in August we inexplicably decided to make our departure date one day later.

Why?

We can only wonder…

After the 9/11 attacks and having already experienced the Oklahoma City bombing, we knew flying to New York on September 12th, 2001 if not prohibited would be unwise and potentially dangerous and thus didn’t.

9/11 Photo

9/11 Photo

In years past on trips to New York we had dined at Windows on the World atop the North Tower of the World Trade Center.

My wife and I had eaten there several times and had even taken our seven year old son there on our last trip to New York before 9/11.

We didn’t make it to the restaurant until after 9:00 PM and my son was so tired when we got there, he slept through most of dinner.

He doesn’t even remember being there…

However for my wife and I, dining at Windows on the World with our son will always be an unforgettable experience.

9/11 Photos

9/11 Photos9/11 Photograph

Neither she or I will ever forget our last trip to the World Trade Center and the dinner we shared at Windows on the World with our son.

9/11/2001 Photo

9/11/2001 Photo

Nor will we forget 9/11/2001.

YouTube: Pulitzer Prize Videos?

September 10, 2008

Most people in the United States if not the developed world have heard of the Pultizer Prize.

The Pulitzer Prize is the highest national honor in newspaper journalism, literary achievements and musical composition.

Pulitzer Prize winning photos have become cultural time stamps.

The The Pulitzer Prize is administered and awarded by Columbia University in 21 categories.

Presently, no Pulitzer Prize honors videography.

Could video be the 22nd category of Pulitzer Prize to be awarded?

Although not called a Pulitzer Prize, YouTube in partnership with the Pulitzer Center, has announced their Project: Report, a journalism contest for non-professional, aspiring journalists to tell stories that might not otherwise be covered by traditional media.

In each of three rounds of competition reporters will be given assignments to complete.

In Round 1: Profile someone in your community, in three minutes or less, highlighting a story you think deserves to be heard by a wide audience.

Videos have to be submitted by midnight EST Sunday October 5th.

10 semi-finalists will then be chosen by a panel of journalists from the Pulitzer Center.

Round 2 and its 10 semi-finalists will be given their assignment and then judged by the YouTube community to produce 5 finalists.

The 3rd and final round will produce the winner who will be granted a $10,000 journalism fellowship with the Pulitzer Center.

Although not technically called a Pulitzer Prize, isn’t it time a prestigious award like the Pulitzer Prize be awarded to an aspiring journalism student or otherwise deserving videographer?

Google Knows Everything or Just Enough?

September 9, 2008

From the Official Google blog yesterday:

“Today, we’re announcing a new logs retention policy: we’ll anonymize IP addresses on our server logs after 9 months. We’re significantly shortening our previous 18-month retention policy to address regulatory concerns and to take another step to improve privacy for our users.”

“Although that was good for privacy, it was a difficult decision because the routine server log data we collect has always been a critical ingredient of innovation. We have published a series of blog posts explaining how we use logs data for the benefit of our users: to make improvements to search quality, improve security, fight fraud and reduce spam.”

“While we’re glad that this will bring some additional improvement in privacy, we’re also concerned about the potential loss of security, quality, and innovation that may result from having less data.”

From these comments, can we infer search quality, innovation, searcher privacy and security are built on having the most search data?

What impact can anonymized data have when you still control it?

Photo Marketing and Monetization with Photrade.com

September 8, 2008

From the DEMO Fall Conference in San Diego and Photrade.com:

“Photrade is where photographers reclaim ownership of their photos. Photraders decide how, when, where and at what cost their photos are used online. We provide unprecedented protection for photos and offer a free photo marketplace where photographers can sell stock, prints and merchandise or use our Adcosystem (TM) where photographers get paid for every view of their photo, anywhere on the internet. Through Photrade, publications and blogs can access a fast-growing library of legally licensed, ad-supported photos. Reclaim your photos, start photrading.”

Photrade.com

Photrade.com

Can Photrade.com transform the marketing and monetization of photos like Google transformed the marketing and monetization of text?

Google Advertising Outlook

September 7, 2008

Tim Armstrong President, Advertising & Commerce North America for Google recently spoke about Google’s search advertising outlook at the Citi Investment Research Technology Conference in New York.

Highlight via Forbes, PaidContent.org and David Kaplan:

1. The business of search: Over the next three years, will we have continued deceleration?

Definitely not, according to Armstrong. He said there’s still a lot of headroom for search because Google still has a lot of the world to conquer. Plus, the improvements in quality that Google has released over the past few months will also show some lift over the the next three years.

2. An advertising pullback? No, Armstrong doesn’t see any retrenchment from the poor economy affecting advertisers’ spending. However, they might be experiencing “a pause” in general. As for search as a branding tool, it’s too early to tell if marketers are starting to view that format as a vehicle for anything more than direct response.

3. Pain points: The major pain points that need to be addressed: complexity is one. There are a lot of offerings on the web today. A lot of companies spent the last four years getting “digitally certified”. The next is measurement and ROI. The third is education.

4. On mobile advertising revenue potential: Citi analysts don’t think mobile will be a material source of revenue in the U.S. this year, but perhaps in Asia. Armstrong: It all comes down to scalability. Will the iPhone grow more quickly? I think the non-iPhone analog devices will see search grow. Typically, we don’t scale all of our resources until we see movement on the consumer side. We’ve been selling ads on mobile for the last 18 months. You should expect to see more over time. But it took a number of years for search to get going, and it will be the same for mobile to pick up as well, from an ad revenue perspective.

My thoughts on Armstrong’s comments:

1. Indeed Google still has a lot headroom because the vast majority of money spent on advertising can’t be measured like Google’s can and thus it can’t be managed to produce a predictable return on the advertiser’s investment.

2. The only advertising pull back will be from media that aren’t delivering measurable financial results for their customers.

Why would an advertiser who is predictably generating a return on their advertising investment do anything but continue to advertise with the media that is producing it?

3. Complexity is indeed an issue on more than one front. The average small business doesn’t have the time or resources to attack the learning curve that accompanies search engine advertising. Secondly, advertisers who haven’t yet embraced search engine advertising whether they are still in the middle majority or are laggards historically won’t change until they have too. The present economic downturn may actually nudge them to explore their other advertising options. However, they may not have the luxury of time needed to make the necessary changes because they may already be competing with businesses who have already begun measuring their advertising investment and its return on investment. Advertisers who measure their advertising ROI have a non-arguable competitive advantage over those who don’t.

4. Mobile advertising revenue although growing will not reach escape velocity anytime soon because Google’s technology is out ahead of both the consumer demand and the average advertisers ability to implement advertising campaigns to reach a large enough group of consumers with demand which would justify the advertiser’s decision to devote resources for reaching them.

18 Month US Economic Forecast

September 6, 2008

With the upcoming election cycle in full swing, I have begun contemplating what the US economy will be doing for the next 18 months.

I think oil will retrace to $70 to $90 a barrel over the next six months while the US economy stalls and troughs.

By the end of the first of quarter 2009, we’ll see the economy restart its engine, but it will be 2010 before it begins moving forward again.

US Economic Forecast

US Economic Forecast

Regardless of how accurate my predictions are, I think most every US citizen will agree the overall economy is not like it was one year or two years ago.

At a minimum, both businesses and consumers alike are paying more and getting less.

My question is: How can you best apply your time, energy and resources to make your business more prosperous and profitable while the majority of your market and competitors are more or less spinning their wheels?

Adwords Campaign Statistics Summary Expanded

September 5, 2008

Google Adwords account campaign summary tab has been expanded to provide four viewing options:

All ( Search + Content )

All Search Content

Search

Adwords Search

Adwords Search

Content

Adwords Content

Adwords Content

Summary

Adwords Summary

Adwords Summary

This new level of data detail at the Adwords campaign summary level will help Adwords advertisers manage they are campaigns more effectively whether their targeting Google’s search network, the Google content network or both.